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    A Real-Time Scheme for the Prediction of Forecast Skill

    Source: Monthly Weather Review:;1990:;volume( 119 ):;issue: 004::page 1088
    Author:
    Molteni, Franco
    ,
    Palmer, T. N.
    DOI: 10.1175/1520-0493(1991)119<1088:ARTSFT>2.0.CO;2
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: During the winter of 1988/89, a real-time experimental scheme to predict skill of the ECMWF operational forecast was devised. The scheme was based on statistical relations between skill scores (the predictands) and a number of predictors including consistency between consecutive forecasts, amplitude of very short-range forecast errors, and indices of large-scale regime transitions. The results of the experiment are assessed with particular attention to a period with large variations in the skill of the operational forecast.
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      A Real-Time Scheme for the Prediction of Forecast Skill

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    http://yetl.yabesh.ir/yetl1/handle/yetl/4202597
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    contributor authorMolteni, Franco
    contributor authorPalmer, T. N.
    date accessioned2017-06-09T16:08:16Z
    date available2017-06-09T16:08:16Z
    date copyright1991/04/01
    date issued1990
    identifier issn0027-0644
    identifier otherams-61779.pdf
    identifier urihttp://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4202597
    description abstractDuring the winter of 1988/89, a real-time experimental scheme to predict skill of the ECMWF operational forecast was devised. The scheme was based on statistical relations between skill scores (the predictands) and a number of predictors including consistency between consecutive forecasts, amplitude of very short-range forecast errors, and indices of large-scale regime transitions. The results of the experiment are assessed with particular attention to a period with large variations in the skill of the operational forecast.
    publisherAmerican Meteorological Society
    titleA Real-Time Scheme for the Prediction of Forecast Skill
    typeJournal Paper
    journal volume119
    journal issue4
    journal titleMonthly Weather Review
    identifier doi10.1175/1520-0493(1991)119<1088:ARTSFT>2.0.CO;2
    journal fristpage1088
    journal lastpage1097
    treeMonthly Weather Review:;1990:;volume( 119 ):;issue: 004
    contenttypeFulltext
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