contributor author | Molteni, Franco | |
contributor author | Palmer, T. N. | |
date accessioned | 2017-06-09T16:08:16Z | |
date available | 2017-06-09T16:08:16Z | |
date copyright | 1991/04/01 | |
date issued | 1990 | |
identifier issn | 0027-0644 | |
identifier other | ams-61779.pdf | |
identifier uri | http://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4202597 | |
description abstract | During the winter of 1988/89, a real-time experimental scheme to predict skill of the ECMWF operational forecast was devised. The scheme was based on statistical relations between skill scores (the predictands) and a number of predictors including consistency between consecutive forecasts, amplitude of very short-range forecast errors, and indices of large-scale regime transitions. The results of the experiment are assessed with particular attention to a period with large variations in the skill of the operational forecast. | |
publisher | American Meteorological Society | |
title | A Real-Time Scheme for the Prediction of Forecast Skill | |
type | Journal Paper | |
journal volume | 119 | |
journal issue | 4 | |
journal title | Monthly Weather Review | |
identifier doi | 10.1175/1520-0493(1991)119<1088:ARTSFT>2.0.CO;2 | |
journal fristpage | 1088 | |
journal lastpage | 1097 | |
tree | Monthly Weather Review:;1990:;volume( 119 ):;issue: 004 | |
contenttype | Fulltext | |