contributor author | Thompson, M. L. | |
contributor author | Guttorp, P. | |
date accessioned | 2017-06-09T16:06:03Z | |
date available | 2017-06-09T16:06:03Z | |
date copyright | 1986/11/01 | |
date issued | 1986 | |
identifier issn | 0027-0644 | |
identifier other | ams-60920.pdf | |
identifier uri | http://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4201643 | |
description abstract | We consider data on severe cyclonic storms striking the Day of Bengal coast during the period 1877?1977. In the literature these data have been modeled by a homogeneous Poisson process in which case times between storm occurrences are independent of one another, making prediction, and hence advance planning, impossible. We give some evidence against the adequacy of a Poisson process model and suggest a Poisson cluster model that appears to describe the data better. The features of fills model are such as to enable some planning procedures to he developed. | |
publisher | American Meteorological Society | |
title | A Probability Model for Severe Cyclonic Storms Striking the Coast around the Bay of Bengal | |
type | Journal Paper | |
journal volume | 114 | |
journal issue | 11 | |
journal title | Monthly Weather Review | |
identifier doi | 10.1175/1520-0493(1986)114<2267:APMFSC>2.0.CO;2 | |
journal fristpage | 2267 | |
journal lastpage | 2271 | |
tree | Monthly Weather Review:;1986:;volume( 114 ):;issue: 011 | |
contenttype | Fulltext | |