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    A Probability Model for Severe Cyclonic Storms Striking the Coast around the Bay of Bengal

    Source: Monthly Weather Review:;1986:;volume( 114 ):;issue: 011::page 2267
    Author:
    Thompson, M. L.
    ,
    Guttorp, P.
    DOI: 10.1175/1520-0493(1986)114<2267:APMFSC>2.0.CO;2
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: We consider data on severe cyclonic storms striking the Day of Bengal coast during the period 1877?1977. In the literature these data have been modeled by a homogeneous Poisson process in which case times between storm occurrences are independent of one another, making prediction, and hence advance planning, impossible. We give some evidence against the adequacy of a Poisson process model and suggest a Poisson cluster model that appears to describe the data better. The features of fills model are such as to enable some planning procedures to he developed.
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      A Probability Model for Severe Cyclonic Storms Striking the Coast around the Bay of Bengal

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    http://yetl.yabesh.ir/yetl1/handle/yetl/4201643
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    contributor authorThompson, M. L.
    contributor authorGuttorp, P.
    date accessioned2017-06-09T16:06:03Z
    date available2017-06-09T16:06:03Z
    date copyright1986/11/01
    date issued1986
    identifier issn0027-0644
    identifier otherams-60920.pdf
    identifier urihttp://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4201643
    description abstractWe consider data on severe cyclonic storms striking the Day of Bengal coast during the period 1877?1977. In the literature these data have been modeled by a homogeneous Poisson process in which case times between storm occurrences are independent of one another, making prediction, and hence advance planning, impossible. We give some evidence against the adequacy of a Poisson process model and suggest a Poisson cluster model that appears to describe the data better. The features of fills model are such as to enable some planning procedures to he developed.
    publisherAmerican Meteorological Society
    titleA Probability Model for Severe Cyclonic Storms Striking the Coast around the Bay of Bengal
    typeJournal Paper
    journal volume114
    journal issue11
    journal titleMonthly Weather Review
    identifier doi10.1175/1520-0493(1986)114<2267:APMFSC>2.0.CO;2
    journal fristpage2267
    journal lastpage2271
    treeMonthly Weather Review:;1986:;volume( 114 ):;issue: 011
    contenttypeFulltext
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