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    Estimating Monthly and Seasonal Distributions of Temperature and Precipitation Using the New CPC Long-Range Forecasts

    Source: Journal of Climate:;1996:;volume( 009 ):;issue: 004::page 818
    Author:
    Briggs, William M.
    ,
    Wilks, Daniel S.
    DOI: 10.1175/1520-0442(1996)009<0818:EMASDO>2.0.CO;2
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: A method for transforming underlying climatological distributions for monthly and seasonal mean temperature and monthly and seasonal total precipitation, in a manner consistent with long-range forecasts by the U.S. Climate Prediction Center, is developed. These transformations are summarized as simple equations into which a user may substitute a forecast probability value and calculate the parameters of a conditional probability distribution. These distributions can then be used to evaluate probabilities associated with user-defined temperature and precipitation outcomes. Examples are given to show the case of use and interpretability.
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      Estimating Monthly and Seasonal Distributions of Temperature and Precipitation Using the New CPC Long-Range Forecasts

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    http://yetl.yabesh.ir/yetl1/handle/yetl/4184267
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    contributor authorBriggs, William M.
    contributor authorWilks, Daniel S.
    date accessioned2017-06-09T15:29:44Z
    date available2017-06-09T15:29:44Z
    date copyright1996/04/01
    date issued1996
    identifier issn0894-8755
    identifier otherams-4528.pdf
    identifier urihttp://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4184267
    description abstractA method for transforming underlying climatological distributions for monthly and seasonal mean temperature and monthly and seasonal total precipitation, in a manner consistent with long-range forecasts by the U.S. Climate Prediction Center, is developed. These transformations are summarized as simple equations into which a user may substitute a forecast probability value and calculate the parameters of a conditional probability distribution. These distributions can then be used to evaluate probabilities associated with user-defined temperature and precipitation outcomes. Examples are given to show the case of use and interpretability.
    publisherAmerican Meteorological Society
    titleEstimating Monthly and Seasonal Distributions of Temperature and Precipitation Using the New CPC Long-Range Forecasts
    typeJournal Paper
    journal volume9
    journal issue4
    journal titleJournal of Climate
    identifier doi10.1175/1520-0442(1996)009<0818:EMASDO>2.0.CO;2
    journal fristpage818
    journal lastpage826
    treeJournal of Climate:;1996:;volume( 009 ):;issue: 004
    contenttypeFulltext
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