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    The Use of General Circulation Models to Predict Regional Climatic Change

    Source: Journal of Climate:;1991:;volume( 004 ):;issue: 003::page 286
    Author:
    Grotch, Stanley L.
    ,
    MacCracken, Michael C.
    DOI: 10.1175/1520-0442(1991)004<0286:TUOGCM>2.0.CO;2
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: Equilibrium simulations using the best-available general circulation models to estimate the sensitivity of the climate to a doubling of the atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration are in broad general agreement that the global annual average surface air temperature would increase 2.5 to 4.5 K. However, at finer spatial scales, the range of changes in temperature and precipitation predicted by different computer models is much broader. Many shortcomings are also apparent in the model simulations of the present climate, indicating that further model improvements are needed to achieve reliable regional and seasonal projections of the future climatic conditions.
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      The Use of General Circulation Models to Predict Regional Climatic Change

    URI
    http://yetl.yabesh.ir/yetl1/handle/yetl/4176089
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    contributor authorGrotch, Stanley L.
    contributor authorMacCracken, Michael C.
    date accessioned2017-06-09T15:13:50Z
    date available2017-06-09T15:13:50Z
    date copyright1991/03/01
    date issued1991
    identifier issn0894-8755
    identifier otherams-3792.pdf
    identifier urihttp://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4176089
    description abstractEquilibrium simulations using the best-available general circulation models to estimate the sensitivity of the climate to a doubling of the atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration are in broad general agreement that the global annual average surface air temperature would increase 2.5 to 4.5 K. However, at finer spatial scales, the range of changes in temperature and precipitation predicted by different computer models is much broader. Many shortcomings are also apparent in the model simulations of the present climate, indicating that further model improvements are needed to achieve reliable regional and seasonal projections of the future climatic conditions.
    publisherAmerican Meteorological Society
    titleThe Use of General Circulation Models to Predict Regional Climatic Change
    typeJournal Paper
    journal volume4
    journal issue3
    journal titleJournal of Climate
    identifier doi10.1175/1520-0442(1991)004<0286:TUOGCM>2.0.CO;2
    journal fristpage286
    journal lastpage303
    treeJournal of Climate:;1991:;volume( 004 ):;issue: 003
    contenttypeFulltext
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