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    Parameterized Updraft Mass Flux as a Predictor of Convective Intensity

    Source: Weather and Forecasting:;2003:;volume( 018 ):;issue: 001::page 106
    Author:
    Kain, John S.
    ,
    Baldwin, Michael E.
    ,
    Weiss, Steven J.
    DOI: 10.1175/1520-0434(2003)018<0106:PUMFAA>2.0.CO;2
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: Parameterized updraft mass flux, available as a unique predictive field from the Kain?Fritsch (KF) convective parameterization, is presented as a potentially valuable predictor of convective intensity. The KF scheme is described in some detail, focusing on a version that is currently being run semioperationally in an experimental version of the Eta Model. It is shown that updraft mass flux computed by this scheme is a function of the specific algorithm that it utilizes and is very sensitive to the thermodynamic characteristics of input soundings. These same characteristics appear to be related to the severity of convection, suggesting that updraft mass flux predicted by the KF scheme has value for predicting severe weather. This argument is supported by anecdotal evidence and a case study.
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      Parameterized Updraft Mass Flux as a Predictor of Convective Intensity

    URI
    http://yetl.yabesh.ir/yetl1/handle/yetl/4170746
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    • Weather and Forecasting

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    contributor authorKain, John S.
    contributor authorBaldwin, Michael E.
    contributor authorWeiss, Steven J.
    date accessioned2017-06-09T15:03:19Z
    date available2017-06-09T15:03:19Z
    date copyright2003/02/01
    date issued2003
    identifier issn0882-8156
    identifier otherams-3311.pdf
    identifier urihttp://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4170746
    description abstractParameterized updraft mass flux, available as a unique predictive field from the Kain?Fritsch (KF) convective parameterization, is presented as a potentially valuable predictor of convective intensity. The KF scheme is described in some detail, focusing on a version that is currently being run semioperationally in an experimental version of the Eta Model. It is shown that updraft mass flux computed by this scheme is a function of the specific algorithm that it utilizes and is very sensitive to the thermodynamic characteristics of input soundings. These same characteristics appear to be related to the severity of convection, suggesting that updraft mass flux predicted by the KF scheme has value for predicting severe weather. This argument is supported by anecdotal evidence and a case study.
    publisherAmerican Meteorological Society
    titleParameterized Updraft Mass Flux as a Predictor of Convective Intensity
    typeJournal Paper
    journal volume18
    journal issue1
    journal titleWeather and Forecasting
    identifier doi10.1175/1520-0434(2003)018<0106:PUMFAA>2.0.CO;2
    journal fristpage106
    journal lastpage116
    treeWeather and Forecasting:;2003:;volume( 018 ):;issue: 001
    contenttypeFulltext
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    DSpace software copyright © 2002-2015  DuraSpace
    نرم افزار کتابخانه دیجیتال "دی اسپیس" فارسی شده توسط یابش برای کتابخانه های ایرانی | تماس با یابش
    yabeshDSpacePersian