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    The Notion of “Best Predictors”: An Application to Tornado Prediction

    Source: Weather and Forecasting:;1999:;volume( 014 ):;issue: 006::page 1007
    Author:
    Marzban, Caren
    ,
    Mitchell, E. De Wayne
    ,
    Stumpf, Gregory J.
    DOI: 10.1175/1520-0434(1999)014<1007:TNOBPA>2.0.CO;2
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: It is argued that the strength of a predictor is an ill-defined concept. At best, it is contingent on many assumptions, and, at worst, it is an ambiguous quantity. It is shown that many of the contingencies are met (or avoided) only in a bivariate sense, that is, one independent variable (and one dependent variable) at a time. Several such methods are offered after which data produced by the National Severe Storms Laboratory?s Tornado Detection Algorithm are analyzed for the purpose of addressing the question of which storm-scale vortex attributes based on Doppler radar constitute the ?best predictors? of tornadoes.
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      The Notion of “Best Predictors”: An Application to Tornado Prediction

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    http://yetl.yabesh.ir/yetl1/handle/yetl/4168334
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    contributor authorMarzban, Caren
    contributor authorMitchell, E. De Wayne
    contributor authorStumpf, Gregory J.
    date accessioned2017-06-09T14:58:16Z
    date available2017-06-09T14:58:16Z
    date copyright1999/12/01
    date issued1999
    identifier issn0882-8156
    identifier otherams-3094.pdf
    identifier urihttp://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4168334
    description abstractIt is argued that the strength of a predictor is an ill-defined concept. At best, it is contingent on many assumptions, and, at worst, it is an ambiguous quantity. It is shown that many of the contingencies are met (or avoided) only in a bivariate sense, that is, one independent variable (and one dependent variable) at a time. Several such methods are offered after which data produced by the National Severe Storms Laboratory?s Tornado Detection Algorithm are analyzed for the purpose of addressing the question of which storm-scale vortex attributes based on Doppler radar constitute the ?best predictors? of tornadoes.
    publisherAmerican Meteorological Society
    titleThe Notion of “Best Predictors”: An Application to Tornado Prediction
    typeJournal Paper
    journal volume14
    journal issue6
    journal titleWeather and Forecasting
    identifier doi10.1175/1520-0434(1999)014<1007:TNOBPA>2.0.CO;2
    journal fristpage1007
    journal lastpage1016
    treeWeather and Forecasting:;1999:;volume( 014 ):;issue: 006
    contenttypeFulltext
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    نرم افزار کتابخانه دیجیتال "دی اسپیس" فارسی شده توسط یابش برای کتابخانه های ایرانی | تماس با یابش
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    DSpace software copyright © 2002-2015  DuraSpace
    نرم افزار کتابخانه دیجیتال "دی اسپیس" فارسی شده توسط یابش برای کتابخانه های ایرانی | تماس با یابش
    yabeshDSpacePersian