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    An Operational Model for Forecasting Probability of Precipitation and Yes/No Forecast

    Source: Weather and Forecasting:;1999:;volume( 014 ):;issue: 001::page 38
    Author:
    Kumar, Ashok
    ,
    Maini, Parvinder
    ,
    Singh, S. V.
    DOI: 10.1175/1520-0434(1999)014<0038:AOMFFP>2.0.CO;2
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: An operational system for forecasting probability of precipitation (PoP) and yes/no forecast over 10 stations during monsoon season is developed. A perfect prog method (PPM) approach is followed for statistical interpretation of numerical weather prediction products. PPM model equations are developed by using analysis data obtained from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts for a period of 6 yr (1985?90). PoP forecasts are obtained from these equations by using global T-80 model output, which was installed at the National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting in 1993. Results of verification study conducted during the monsoon season of 1995 covering various aspects of forecast skill and quality are also described.
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      An Operational Model for Forecasting Probability of Precipitation and Yes/No Forecast

    URI
    http://yetl.yabesh.ir/yetl1/handle/yetl/4167568
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    • Weather and Forecasting

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    contributor authorKumar, Ashok
    contributor authorMaini, Parvinder
    contributor authorSingh, S. V.
    date accessioned2017-06-09T14:56:53Z
    date available2017-06-09T14:56:53Z
    date copyright1999/02/01
    date issued1999
    identifier issn0882-8156
    identifier otherams-3025.pdf
    identifier urihttp://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4167568
    description abstractAn operational system for forecasting probability of precipitation (PoP) and yes/no forecast over 10 stations during monsoon season is developed. A perfect prog method (PPM) approach is followed for statistical interpretation of numerical weather prediction products. PPM model equations are developed by using analysis data obtained from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts for a period of 6 yr (1985?90). PoP forecasts are obtained from these equations by using global T-80 model output, which was installed at the National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting in 1993. Results of verification study conducted during the monsoon season of 1995 covering various aspects of forecast skill and quality are also described.
    publisherAmerican Meteorological Society
    titleAn Operational Model for Forecasting Probability of Precipitation and Yes/No Forecast
    typeJournal Paper
    journal volume14
    journal issue1
    journal titleWeather and Forecasting
    identifier doi10.1175/1520-0434(1999)014<0038:AOMFFP>2.0.CO;2
    journal fristpage38
    journal lastpage48
    treeWeather and Forecasting:;1999:;volume( 014 ):;issue: 001
    contenttypeFulltext
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