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    Further Evaluation of the National Meterological Center's Medium-Range Forecast Model Precpitation Forecasts

    Source: Weather and Forecasting:;1991:;volume( 006 ):;issue: 004::page 483
    Author:
    Roads, John O.
    ,
    Maisal, T. Norman
    ,
    Alpert, Jordan
    DOI: 10.1175/1520-0434(1991)006<0483:FEOTNM>2.0.CO;2
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: Precipitation forecasts made by the National Meteorological Center's medium-range forecast (MRF) model are evaluated for the period, 1 March 1987 to 31 March 1989. As shown by Roads and Maisel, the MRF model wet bias was substantially alleviated during this period. As is shown here, the MRF model forecast skill in predicting individual wet and dry events has also increased. We show that there is substantial skill in the model forecasts of precipitation occurrences beyond 2.5 days. These MRF model forecasts have not yet been fully exploited by the forecasting community, in part, because they have not been readily available.
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      Further Evaluation of the National Meterological Center's Medium-Range Forecast Model Precpitation Forecasts

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    http://yetl.yabesh.ir/yetl1/handle/yetl/4163001
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    contributor authorRoads, John O.
    contributor authorMaisal, T. Norman
    contributor authorAlpert, Jordan
    date accessioned2017-06-09T14:45:37Z
    date available2017-06-09T14:45:37Z
    date copyright1991/12/01
    date issued1991
    identifier issn0882-8156
    identifier otherams-2614.pdf
    identifier urihttp://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4163001
    description abstractPrecipitation forecasts made by the National Meteorological Center's medium-range forecast (MRF) model are evaluated for the period, 1 March 1987 to 31 March 1989. As shown by Roads and Maisel, the MRF model wet bias was substantially alleviated during this period. As is shown here, the MRF model forecast skill in predicting individual wet and dry events has also increased. We show that there is substantial skill in the model forecasts of precipitation occurrences beyond 2.5 days. These MRF model forecasts have not yet been fully exploited by the forecasting community, in part, because they have not been readily available.
    publisherAmerican Meteorological Society
    titleFurther Evaluation of the National Meterological Center's Medium-Range Forecast Model Precpitation Forecasts
    typeJournal Paper
    journal volume6
    journal issue4
    journal titleWeather and Forecasting
    identifier doi10.1175/1520-0434(1991)006<0483:FEOTNM>2.0.CO;2
    journal fristpage483
    journal lastpage497
    treeWeather and Forecasting:;1991:;volume( 006 ):;issue: 004
    contenttypeFulltext
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