Uncertainties in the Radiative Forcing Due to Sulfate Aerosols

Abstract

Radiative transfer calculations based on a new sulfate distribution from a chemistry-transport model simulation have been performed. A wide range of sensitivity experiments have been performed to illustrate the large uncertainty in the radiative forcing due to sulfate aerosols. The most important factors seem to be processes involved in the mixing of sulfate aerosols with other particles and uncertainties in the relative humidities. These factors can explain much of the large range in previous estimates of the radiative forcing due to sulfate aerosols reflected, for example, in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change estimate. Included in this study is a simple subgrid-scale parameterization of relative humidity to investigate a potentially large uncertainty in the radiative forcing due to sulfate aerosol.