Relating Cirrus Cloud Properties to Observed Fluxes: A Critical Assessment

Abstract

The accuracy needed in cirrus cloud scattering and microphysical properties is quantified such that the radiative effect on climate can he determined. Our ability to compute and observe these properties to within needed accuracies is assessed, with the greatest attention given to those properties that most affect the fluxes. Model calculations indicate that computing net longwave fluxes at the surface to within ±5% requires that cloud temperature be known to within as little as ±3 K in cold climates for extinction optical depths greater than two. Such accuracy could be more difficult to obtain than that needed in the values of scattering parameters. For a baseline case (defined in text), computing net shortwave fluxes at the surface to within ±5% requires accuracies in cloud ice water content that, when the optical depth is greater than 1.25, are beyond the accuracies of current measurements. Similarly, surface shortwave flux computations require accuracies in the asymmetry parameter that are beyond our current abilities when the optical depth is greater than four. Unless simplifications are discovered, the scattering properties needed to compute cirrus cloud fluxes cannot be obtained explicitly with existing scattering algorithms because the range of crystal sizes is too great and crystal shapes are too varied to be treated computationally. Thus, bulk cirrus scattering properties might be better obtained by inverting cirrus cloud fluxes and radiances. Finally, typical aircraft broadband flux measurements are not sufficiently accurate to provide a convincing validation of calculations. In light of these findings we recommend a reexamination of the methodology used in field programs such as FIRE and suggest a complementary approach.