The Influence of Tropical heating Displacements on the Extratropical Climate

Abstract

The hypothesis is advanced that a latitudinal shift in the tropical convective heating pattern can significantly alter temperatures in the extratropics. Results of a simplified GCM show that the shift of a prescribed tropical heating toward the summer pole, on time scales longer than a few weeks, leads to a more intense cross-equatorial ?winter? Hadley circulation, enhanced upper-level tropical easterlies, and a slightly stronger subtropical winter jet, accompanied by warming at the winter middle and high latitudes as a result of increased dynamical heating. The indications are that there is a robust connection between the net dynamic heating in the extratropics and the implied changes in the subtropical wind shear resulting from adjustments in the Hadley circulation associated with convective heating displacements in the tropics. The implications are that (i) the low-frequency temporal variability in the Hadley circulation may play an important role in modulating wave transport in the winter extratropics, (ii) the global climate may be sensitive to those processes that control deep cumulus convection in the tropics, and (iii) systematic temperature biases in GCMs may be reduced by improving the tropical rainfall simulation.