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    Predictability of Precipitation Patterns: An Operational Approach

    Source: Journal of Applied Meteorology:;1994:;volume( 033 ):;issue: 012::page 1562
    Author:
    Zawadzki, I.
    ,
    Morneau, J.
    ,
    Laprise, R.
    DOI: 10.1175/1520-0450(1994)033<1562:POPPAO>2.0.CO;2
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: Predictability, defined as the ability to forecast precipitation over an area by Lagrangian persistence, is studied for 11 radar precipitation patterns. After a time ranging between 40 and 112 min, depending on individual cases, all forecast skill is lost. Attempts at relating this range of predictability to larger-scale meteorological parameters lead to positive results when the convective available potential energy is considered alone or in combination with wind shear energy. It appears from this study that the limited range of scales properly sampled by a single radar severely hampers the possibility of establishing a solid empirical relationship between mesoscale predictability and synoptic-scale meteorological parameters.
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      Predictability of Precipitation Patterns: An Operational Approach

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    http://yetl.yabesh.ir/yetl1/handle/yetl/4147426
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    contributor authorZawadzki, I.
    contributor authorMorneau, J.
    contributor authorLaprise, R.
    date accessioned2017-06-09T14:05:07Z
    date available2017-06-09T14:05:07Z
    date copyright1994/12/01
    date issued1994
    identifier issn0894-8763
    identifier otherams-12121.pdf
    identifier urihttp://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4147426
    description abstractPredictability, defined as the ability to forecast precipitation over an area by Lagrangian persistence, is studied for 11 radar precipitation patterns. After a time ranging between 40 and 112 min, depending on individual cases, all forecast skill is lost. Attempts at relating this range of predictability to larger-scale meteorological parameters lead to positive results when the convective available potential energy is considered alone or in combination with wind shear energy. It appears from this study that the limited range of scales properly sampled by a single radar severely hampers the possibility of establishing a solid empirical relationship between mesoscale predictability and synoptic-scale meteorological parameters.
    publisherAmerican Meteorological Society
    titlePredictability of Precipitation Patterns: An Operational Approach
    typeJournal Paper
    journal volume33
    journal issue12
    journal titleJournal of Applied Meteorology
    identifier doi10.1175/1520-0450(1994)033<1562:POPPAO>2.0.CO;2
    journal fristpage1562
    journal lastpage1571
    treeJournal of Applied Meteorology:;1994:;volume( 033 ):;issue: 012
    contenttypeFulltext
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    DSpace software copyright © 2002-2015  DuraSpace
    نرم افزار کتابخانه دیجیتال "دی اسپیس" فارسی شده توسط یابش برای کتابخانه های ایرانی | تماس با یابش
    yabeshDSpacePersian