Simulation of Tracer Concentration Data in the Brush Creek Drainage Flow Using an Integrated Puff Model

Abstract

During the 1984 ASCOT field study in Brush Creek Valley, two perfluorocarbon tracers were released into the nocturnal drainage flow at two different heights. The resulting surface concentrations were sampled at 90 sites, and vertical concentration profiles at 11 sites. These detailed tracer measurements provide a valuable dataset for developing and testing models of pollutant transport and dispersion in valleys. In this paper, we present the results of Gaussian puff model simulations of the tracer releases in Brush Creek Valley. The model was modified to account for the restricted lateral dispersion in the valley, and for the gross elevation differences between the release site and the receptors. The variable wind fields needed to transport the puffs were obtained by interpolation between wind profiles measured using tethered balloons at five along-valley sites. Direct turbulence measurements were used to estimate diffusion. Subsidence in the valley flow was included for elevated releases. Two test simulations?covering different nights, tracers, and release heights?were performed. The predicted hourly concentrations were compared with observations at 51 ground-level locations. At most sites, the predicted and observed concentrations agree within a factor of 2 to 6. For the elevated release simulation, the observed mean concentration is 40 pL/L, the predicted mean is 21 pL/L, the correlation coefficient between the observed and predicted concentrations is 0.24, and the index of agreement is 0.46. For the surface release simulation, the observed mean is 85 pL/L, and the predicted mean is 73 pL/L. The correlation coefficient is 0.23, and the index of agreement is 0.42. The results suggest that this modified puff model can be used as a practical tool for simulating pollutant transport and dispersion in deep valleys.