Testing for Climate Change: An Application of the Two-Phase Regression ModelSource: Journal of Climate and Applied Meteorology:;1987:;Volume( 026 ):;Issue: 010::page 1401Author:Solow, Andrew R.
DOI: 10.1175/1520-0450(1987)026<1401:TFCCAA>2.0.CO;2Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A statistical test for detecting a change in the behavior of an annual temperature series is presented. The test is based on the two-phase regression model. By trading the hypothesized time of change as an unknown parameter, the approach allows an inference to be made about the time of change. The approach also avoids a serious problem, called data-dredging, that can arise in testing for change occurring at a specified time. The test is applied to a series of Southern Hemisphere temperatures, and the hypothesis of no change cannot be rejected.
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contributor author | Solow, Andrew R. | |
date accessioned | 2017-06-09T14:02:00Z | |
date available | 2017-06-09T14:02:00Z | |
date copyright | 1987/10/01 | |
date issued | 1987 | |
identifier issn | 0733-3021 | |
identifier other | ams-11244.pdf | |
identifier uri | http://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4146451 | |
description abstract | A statistical test for detecting a change in the behavior of an annual temperature series is presented. The test is based on the two-phase regression model. By trading the hypothesized time of change as an unknown parameter, the approach allows an inference to be made about the time of change. The approach also avoids a serious problem, called data-dredging, that can arise in testing for change occurring at a specified time. The test is applied to a series of Southern Hemisphere temperatures, and the hypothesis of no change cannot be rejected. | |
publisher | American Meteorological Society | |
title | Testing for Climate Change: An Application of the Two-Phase Regression Model | |
type | Journal Paper | |
journal volume | 26 | |
journal issue | 10 | |
journal title | Journal of Climate and Applied Meteorology | |
identifier doi | 10.1175/1520-0450(1987)026<1401:TFCCAA>2.0.CO;2 | |
journal fristpage | 1401 | |
journal lastpage | 1405 | |
tree | Journal of Climate and Applied Meteorology:;1987:;Volume( 026 ):;Issue: 010 | |
contenttype | Fulltext |