Rainfall Results of the Florida Area Cumulus Experiment, 1970–76

Abstract

The Florida Area Cumulus Experiment of 1970?76 (FACE-1) is a single-area, randomized, exploratory experiment to determine whether seeding cumuli for dynamic effects (dynamic seeding) can be used to augment convective rainfall over a substantial target area (1.3 ? 104 km2) in south Florida. Rainfall is estimated using S-band radar observations after adjustment by raingages. The two primary response variables are rain volumes in the total target (TT) and in the floating target (FT), the most intensely treated portion of the target. The experimental unit is the day and the main observational period is the 6 h after initiation of treatment (silver iodide flares on seed days and either no flares or placebos on control days). Analyses without predictors suggest apparent increases in both the location (means and medians) and the dispersion (standard deviation and interquartile range) characteristics of rainfall due to seeding in the FT and TT variables with substantial statistical support for the FT results and lesser statistical support for the TT results. Analyses of covariance using meteorologically meaningful predictor variables suggest a somewhat larger effect of seeding with stronger statistical support. These results are interpreted in terms of the FACE conceptual model.