Siren: A Repetitive Construction Simulation Model

Abstract

SIREN (SImulation of REpetitive Networks) is a computer model of repetitive construction such as the construction of multi‐story buildings, housing estates, linear projects, etc. The user interactively inputs a precedence diagram for the repetitive unit (e.g., one floor of a skyscraper) and additional “sub‐networks” that are not part of the repetitive sequence (e.g., first floor of skyscraper). From this information, the computer generates the whole network. Data is input via an IBM‐PC at which point extensive error checking is carried out. The model itself is coded in the GPSS language and runs on a remote mainframe computer. It simulates the various crews as they queue to carry out activities. A working schedule and cumulative cost curve are produced and statistics are gathered on crew and equipment utilization, all being output graphically. A Monte‐Carlo simulation is also included as probability distributions may be associated with the duration of each activity. This yields confidence intervals on cumulative costs throughout the project and on milestone attainment.