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RISDiscussion of “Practical Means for Energy-Based Analyses of Disproportionate Collapse Potential” by Donald O. Dusenberry and Ronald O. Hamburger
Publisher: American Society of Civil Engineers
Ensemble Atmospheric GCM Simulation of Climate Interannual Variability from 1979 to 1994
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The climate interannual variability is examined using the general circulation model (GCM) developed at the Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique. The model is forced by the observed sea surface temperature for the period ...
Bayesian Changepoint Analysis for Extreme Events (Typhoons, Heavy Rainfall, and Heat Waves): An RJMCMC Approach
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A hierarchical Bayesian framework is developed to identify multiple abrupt regime shifts in an extreme event series. Specifically, extreme events are modeled as a Poisson process with a gamma-distributed rate. Multiple ...
Bayesian Change-Point Analysis of Tropical Cyclone Activity: The Central North Pacific Case
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Bayesian analysis is applied to detect change points in the time series of annual tropical cyclone counts over the central North Pacific. Specifically, a hierarchical Bayesian approach involving three layers?data, parameter, ...
Bayesian Multiple Changepoint Analysis of Hurricane Activity in the Eastern North Pacific: A Markov Chain Monte Carlo Approach
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A Bayesian framework is developed to detect multiple abrupt shifts in a time series of the annual major hurricanes counts. The hurricane counts are modeled by a Poisson process where the Poisson intensity (i.e., hurricane ...
A Bayesian Regression Approach for Predicting Seasonal Tropical Cyclone Activity over the Central North Pacific
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: In this study, a Poisson generalized linear regression model cast in the Bayesian framework is applied to forecast the tropical cyclone (TC) activity in the central North Pacific (CNP) in the peak hurricane season ...
Influence of the Fastening Modeling on the Vehicle Track Interaction at Singular Rail Surface Defects
Publisher: The American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME)
Abstract: With up to 12 springdamper groups distributed in the actual area of a rail pad, different fastening models are developed in this paper to include the nonuniform pressure distribution within a fastening system and model the ...
Mechanical Analysis of Vaulted Expansion of Semi-rigid Base
Publisher: American Society of Civil Engineers
Abstract: Vaulted expansion of semi-rigid base caused by thermal stress was analyzed with the theory of buckling of columns in mechanics of materials and the theory of buckling of elastic plates in mechanics of elasticity. Whether ...
First and Second Law Analysis of Intercooled Turbofan Engine
Publisher: The American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME)
Abstract: Although the benefits of intercooling for aeroengine applications have been realized and discussed in many publications, quantitative details are still relatively limited. In order to strengthen the understanding of ...
Analysis of Chemo-Poro-Thermo-Mechanical Effects on Wellbore Strengthening
Publisher: The American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME)
Abstract: The application of wellbore strengthening treatment has less effect on shale formations. Several numerical studies were developed to describe the mechanism, which promoted the development of wellbore strengthening theory. ...