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A Classical-REEP Short-Range Forecast Procedure
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A statistical technique has been designed to assist in the forecasting of weather elements in the 0?12-h time period. The method uses only the last two surface hourly observations for a particular station as predictors, ...
A New Spatial-Scale Decomposition of the Brier Score: Application to the Verification of Lightning Probability Forecasts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A new scale decomposition of the Brier score for the verification of probabilistic forecasts defined on a spatial domain is introduced. The technique is illustrated on the Canadian Meteorological Centre (CMC) lightning ...
Characteristics of the Northern Australian Rainy Season
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A trend of increasing rainfall over much of north and northwest Australia over recent decades has contrasted with decreases over much of the rest of the continent. The increases have occurred during the summer months when ...
Examination of the Impact of a Coupled Atmospheric and Ocean Wave System. Part II: Ocean Wave Aspects
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A coupled atmospheric and ocean wave system has been developed to study the impact of changes of surface roughness length induced by ocean waves. A two-way coupling between a mesoscale atmospheric model, MC2, and an oceanic ...