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Quantification of Predictive Skill for Mesoscale and Synoptic-Scale Meteorological Features as a Function of Horizontal Grid Resolution
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: To quantitatively assess numerical predictive skill for synoptic and mesoscale features as a function of horizontal grid resolution, a series of experiments is conducted using the Pennsylvania State University-National ...
Retrieval of Model Initial Fields from Single-Doppler Observations of a Supercell Thunderstorm. Part I: Single-Doppler Velocity Retrieval
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: In this two-part study, a single-Doppler parameter retrieval technique is developed and applied to a real-data case to provide initial conditions for a short-range prediction of a supercell thunderstorm. The technique ...
Retrieval of Model Initial Fields from Single-Doppler Observations of a Supercell Thunderstorm. Part II: Thermodynamic Retrieval and Numerical Prediction
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: In this two-part study, a single-Doppler parameter retrieval technique is developed and applied to a real-data case to provide model initial conditions for a short-range prediction of a supercell thunderstorm. The technique ...
A GSI-Based Coupled EnSRF–En3DVar Hybrid Data Assimilation System for the Operational Rapid Refresh Model: Tests at a Reduced Resolution
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: coupled ensemble square root filter?three-dimensional ensemble-variational hybrid (EnSRF?En3DVar) data assimilation (DA) system is developed for the operational Rapid Refresh (RAP) forecasting system. The En3DVar hybrid ...
Radiance Preprocessing for Assimilation in the Hourly Updating Rapid Refresh Mesoscale Model: A Study Using AIRS Data
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThis study describes the initial application of radiance bias correction and channel selection in the hourly updated Rapid Refresh model. For this initial application, data from the Atmospheric Infrared Sounder ...
A Regional GSI-Based Ensemble Kalman Filter Data Assimilation System for the Rapid Refresh Configuration: Testing at Reduced Resolution
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: regional ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) system is established for potential Rapid Refresh (RAP) operational application. The system borrows data processing and observation operators from the gridpoint statistical interpolation ...
Convective-Scale Warn-on-Forecast System
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA's) National Weather Service (NWS) issues warnings for severe thunderstorms, tornadoes, and flash floods because these phenomena are a threat to life and property. ...
An Hourly Assimilation–Forecast Cycle: The RUC
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The Rapid Update Cycle (RUC), an operational regional analysis?forecast system among the suite of models at the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP), is distinctive in two primary aspects: its hourly ...
Stratiform Cloud-Hydrometeor Assimilation for HRRR and RAP Model Short-Range Weather Prediction
Publisher: American Meteorological Society