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RISTropical Cyclone Activity in the Fiji Region: Spatial Patterns and Relationship to Large-Scale Circulation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This study examines the variations in tropical cyclone (TC) genesis positions and their subsequent tracks for different phases of the El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon in the Fiji, Samoa, and Tonga region (FST ...
The Influence of the Madden–Julian Oscillation on Tropical Cyclone Activity in the Fiji Region
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This study examines the modulation of tropical cyclone (TC) activity by the Madden?Julian oscillation (MJO) in the Fiji, Samoa, and Tonga regions (FST region), using Joint Typhoon Warning Center best-track cyclone data and ...
Influence of ENSO on the Diurnal Cycle of Rainfall over the Maritime Continent and Australia
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his study examines the influence of ENSO on the diurnal cycle of rainfall during boreal winter for the period 1998?2010 over the Maritime Continent (MC) and Australia using Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) and ...
Modeling Seasonal Tropical Cyclone Activity in the Fiji Region as a Binary Classification Problem
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his study presents a binary classification model for the prediction of tropical cyclone (TC) activity in the Fiji, Samoa, and Tonga regions (the FST region) using the accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) as a proxy of TC ...
The Impact of Climate Change on the Poleward Movement of Tropical Cyclone–Like Vortices in a Regional Climate Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A regional climate model (DARLAM) is implemented over the Australian region and a 20-yr seasonally varying simulation is examined for the presence of tropical cyclone?like vortices (TCLVs). The horizontal resolution of the ...
Scale Interaction of the Diurnal Cycle of Rainfall over the Maritime Continent and Australia: Influence of the MJO
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The influence of the MJO on the phase and amplitude of the diurnal cycle of rainfall during Australian summer [December?February (DJF)] over the Maritime Continent (MC) and northern Australia is investigated using the ...
Influence of ENSO on Tropical Cyclone Intensity in the Fiji Region
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his study examines the variation in tropical cyclone (TC) intensity for different phases of the El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon in the Fiji, Samoa, and Tonga (FST) region. The variation in TC intensity is ...
Forecasting Tropical Cyclone Formation in the Fiji Region: A Probit Regression Approach Using Bayesian Fitting
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: n objective methodology for forecasting the probability of tropical cyclone (TC) formation in the Fiji, Samoa, and Tonga regions (collectively the FST region) using antecedent large-scale environmental conditions is ...
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Increase near Australia as a Result of Climate Change
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Idealized tropical cyclones are inserted into a regional climate model and the resulting intensity evolution of the storms is examined under current and enhanced greenhouse climates. The regional climate model is implemented ...
A Bayesian Regression Approach to Seasonal Prediction of Tropical Cyclones Affecting the Fiji Region
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This study presents seasonal prediction schemes for tropical cyclones (TCs) affecting the Fiji, Samoa, and Tonga (FST) region. Two separate Bayesian regression models are developed: (i) for cyclones forming within the FST ...