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The Surface-Wind Response to Transient Mesoscale Pressure Fields Associated with Squall Lines
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The two most prominent surface pressure features associated with squall lines are 1) a surface mesohigh, centered within the heavy-rain region, and 2) a wake low, located at the back edge of the trailing area of light ...
FORECASTER’S FORUM: Subjective Tornado Probability Forecasts in Severe Weather Watches
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: An experiment was conducted at the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) to assess the accuracy of subjective probability forecasts for tornadoes within individual convective watch areas. Probability forecasts for one or more and ...
Near-Tropopause Vertical Motion within the Trailing Stratiform Region of a Midlatitude Squall Line
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Rawinsonde observations have been used to determine the flow structure in the vicinity of the tropopause atop the trailing stratiform precipitation region of an intense midlatitude squall line. Computations of vertical ...
Storm Prediction Center Forecasting Issues Related to the 3 May 1999 Tornado Outbreak
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Forecasters at the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) were faced with many challenges during the 3 May 1999 tornado outbreak. Operational numerical forecast models valid during the outbreak gave inaccurate, inconsistent, and/or ...