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A Local AFOS MOS Program (LAMP) and its Application to Wind Prediction
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The Techniques Development Laboratory has a project called the local AFOS MOS Program (LAMP). Its purpose is the development of a system which can produce at any hour of the day in a Weather Service Forecast Office (WSFO) ...
Statistical Corrections to Numerical Predictions III
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A simplified numerical model is used to test new proposals for the statistical correction of numerical predictions. Two procedures are reported here first, time interpolations to allow application of the previously reported ...
Estimation of Saturation Thickness to Initialize the LAMP Moisture Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The relationship between precipitable water, W; 1000?500 mb thickness, h; station elevation, E, and observed precipitation was examined to obtain an equation to estimate saturation thickness. Radiosonde observations were ...
A Forecast Product that Maximizes Utility for State–of–the–Art Seasonal Climate Prediction
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The prediction of seasonal climate anomalies at useful lead times often involves an unfavorable signal?to?noise ratio. The forecasts, while consequently tending to have modest skill, nonetheless have significant utility ...
Toward an Improved Multimodel ENSO Prediction
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: ince 2002, the International Research Institute for Climate and Society, later in partnership with the Climate Prediction Center, has issued an ENSO prediction product informally called the ENSO prediction plume. Here, ...
Ensemble Regression
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A regression model was developed for use with ensemble forecasts. Ensemble members are assumed to represent a set of equally likely solutions, one of which will best fit the observation. If standard linear regression ...
CORRIGENDUM
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Developments in Operational Long-Range Climate Prediction at CPC
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The science, production methods, and format of long-range forecasts (LRFs) at the Climate Prediction Center (CPC), a part of the National Weather Service?s (NWS?s) National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP), have ...
A Comparison of Ground and Satellite Observations of Cloud Cover
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A processing scheme that determines cloud height and amount based on radiances from the Visible Infrared Spin Scan Radiometer Atmospheric Sounder (VAS) using a CO2 absorption technique has been installed on the National ...
NCEP Forecasts of the El Niño of 1997—98 and Its U.S. Impacts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The strong El Niño of 1997-98 provided a unique opportunity for National Weather Service, National Centers for Environmental Prediction, Climate Prediction Center (CPC) forecasters to apply several years of accumulated new ...