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    Detection of Severe Weather Events in a High-Resolution Ensemble Prediction System Using the Extreme Forecast Index (EFI) and Shift of Tails (SOT) 

    Source: Weather and Forecasting:;2018:;volume 033:;issue 004:;page 901
    Author(s): Raynaud, Laure; Touzé, Benoît; Arbogast, Philippe
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: AbstractThe extreme forecast index (EFI) and shift of tails (SOT) are commonly used to compare an ensemble forecast to a reference model climatology, in order to measure the severity of the current weather forecast. In ...
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