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Does the Mediterranean Sea Influence the European Summer Climate? The Anomalous Summer 2003 as a Test Bed
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he European summer 2003 presents a rare opportunity to investigate dynamical interactions in the otherwise variable European climate. Not only did air temperature show a distinct signal, but the Mediterranean sea surface ...
Thermodynamic Causes for Future Trends in Heavy Precipitation over Europe Based on an Ensemble of Regional Climate Model Simulations
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: n extreme-value analysis of projected changes in heavy precipitation is carried out for an ensemble of eight high-resolution regional climate model simulations over the European domain. The consideration of several regional ...
The Role of Moisture in Summertime Low-Level Jet Formation and Associated Rainfall over the East Asian Monsoon Region
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he southwesterly low-level jet (LLJ) located to the east of the Tibetan Plateau in southern China plays an important role in summertime convective initiation over north China. This study adopts a novel perspective and uses ...
Robust Bayesian Uncertainty Analysis of Climate System Properties Using Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A Bayesian uncertainty analysis of 12 parameters of the Bern2.5D climate model is presented. This includes an extensive sensitivity study with respect to the major statistical assumptions. Special attention is given to the ...
The Effect of Explicit Convection on Couplings between Rainfall, Humidity, and Ascent over Africa under Climate Change
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The Hadley circulation and tropical rain belt are dominant features of African climate. Moist convection provides ascent within the rain belt, but must be parameterized in climate models, limiting predictions. Here, we use ...
The Art and Science of Climate Model Tuning
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he process of parameter estimation targeting a chosen set of observations is an essential aspect of numerical modeling. This process is usually named tuning in the climate modeling community. In climate models, the variety ...
Convection-Permitting Regional Climate Change Simulations for Understanding Future Climate and Informing Decision-Making in Africa
Publisher: American Meteorological Society