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A Study on the Scale Dependence of the Predictability of Precipitation Patterns
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: methodology is proposed to investigate the scale dependence of the predictability of precipitation patterns at the mesoscale. By applying it to two or more precipitation fields, either modeled or observed, a decorrelation ...
On the Filtering Properties of Ensemble Averaging for Storm-Scale Precipitation Forecasts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he mean (ENM) of an ensemble of precipitation forecasts is generally more skillful than any of the members as verified against observations. A major reason is that the averaging filters out nonpredictable features on which ...
The Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation from Continental Radar Mosaics and Numerical Weather Prediction Models. Part I: Methodology and Seasonal Comparison
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The diurnal cycle of precipitation over the continental United States is characterized through the analysis of radar rainfall maps and is used as a measure of performance of the Global Environmental Multiscale (GEM) model ...
The Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation from Continental Radar Mosaics and Numerical Weather Prediction Models. Part II: Intercomparison among Numerical Models and with Nowcasting
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his second part of a two-paper series compares deterministic precipitation forecasts from the Storm-Scale Ensemble Forecast System (4-km grid) run during the 2008 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed (HWT) Spring Experiment, and ...
Untitled
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThis paper analyzes the scale and case dependence of the predictability of precipitation in the Storm-Scale Ensemble Forecast (SSEF) system run by the Center for Analysis and Prediction of Storms (CAPS) during the ...
Verification of 24-hour quantitative precipitation forecasts over the Pacific Northwest from a high-resolution Ensemble Kalman Filter system
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: nvironment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) has recently developed an experimental High Resolution EnKF (HREnKF) regional ensemble prediction system, which it tested over the Pacific Northwest of North America for the first ...