Abstract: A new product for estimating the 24-h probability of TC formation in individual 5° ? 5° subregions of the North Atlantic, eastern North Pacific, and western North Pacific tropical basins is developed. This product uses ...

Abstract: of decision-support systems, such as those employed by energy and utility companies, use the National Hurricane Center (NHC) forecasts of track and intensity to inform operational decision making as a hurricane approaches. ...

Abstract: Annular hurricanes are a subset of intense tropical cyclones that have been shown in previous work to be significantly stronger, to maintain their peak intensities longer, and to weaken more slowly than average tropical ...

Abstract: evelopment of a 12-ft-seas significant wave height ensemble consistent with the official tropical cyclone intensity, track, and wind structure forecasts and their errors from the operational U.S. tropical cyclone forecast ...

Abstract: AbstractThe Prediction of Intensity Model Error (PRIME) forecasting scheme uses various large-scale meteorological parameters as well as proxies for initial condition uncertainty and atmospheric flow stability to provide ...

Abstract: On 22 May 2008, a strong tornado?rated EF3 on the enhanced Fujita scale, with winds estimated between 136 and 165 mi h?1 (61 and 74 m s?1)?caused extensive damage along a 55-km track through northern Colorado. The worst ...

Abstract: Tropical cyclone intensity change remains a forecasting challenge with important implications for such vulnerable areas as the U.S. coast along the Gulf of Mexico. Analysis of 1979?2008 Gulf tropical cyclones during their ...

Abstract: he Department of Defense uses a Tropical Cyclone Conditions of Readiness (TC-CORs) system to prepare bases and evacuate assets and personnel in advance of adverse weather associated with tropical cyclones (TCs). TC-CORs ...

Abstract: he National Hurricane Center Hurricane Probability Program, which estimated the probability of a tropical cyclone passing within a specific distance of a selected set of coastal stations, was replaced by the more general ...