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The Baroclinic χ Problem and Its Application to the Diagnosis of Atmospheric Heating Rates
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The baroclinic ? (chi) problem is the problem of diagnosing the three-dimensional distribution of large-scale vertical motion from the vorticity budget. A solution technique is developed in which a preliminary guess for ...
Tropical and Stratospheric Influences on Extratropical Short-Term Climate Variability
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The relative impacts of tropical diabatic heating and stratospheric circulation anomalies on wintertime extratropical tropospheric variability are investigated in a linear inverse model (LIM) derived from the observed zero ...
Reconciling Non-Gaussian Climate Statistics with Linear Dynamics
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Linear stochastically forced models have been found to be competitive with comprehensive nonlinear weather and climate models at representing many features of the observed covariance statistics and at predictions beyond a ...
Factors Determining the Extratropical Response to Equatorial Diabatic Heating Anomalies
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The steady linear response of a spherical baroclinic atmosphere to an equatorial diabatic heat source having a simple horizontal and vertical structure is examined. This source is imposed upon representative zonally symmetric ...
The Diagnosis of Mechanical Dissipation in the Atmosphere from Large-Scale Balance Requirements
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The momentum budget for January 1987 is evaluated with global observations analyzed at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). The dissipation term is diagnosed from the budget as a balance requirement, ...
The Impact of the Annual Cycle on the North Pacific/North American Response to Remote Low-Frequency Forcing
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The impact of the climatological seasonally varying 300-mb flow on the North Pacific/North American response to remote anomalous forcing is considered in the context of a linear barotropic model. WKB theory suggests that ...
The Optimal Growth of Tropical Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: It is argued from SST observations for the period 1950?90 that the tropical Indo-Pacific ocean-atmosphere system may be described as a stable linear dynamical system driven by spatially coherent Gaussian white noise. ...
A Caveat Concerning Singular Value Decomposition
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: An assessment is made of the ability of the singular value decomposition (SYD) technique to recover the relationship between two variables x and y from a time series of their observations. It is shown that SVD is rigorously ...
Prospects for Improving Subseasonal Predictions
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: xtending atmospheric prediction skill beyond the predictability limit of about 10 days for daily weather rests on the hope that some time-averaged aspects of anomalous circulations remain predictable at longer forecast ...
Local Time- and Space Scales of Organized Tropical Deep Convection
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The time- and space scales of tropical deep convection are estimated via analysis of 3-hourly Global Cloud Imagery (GCI) data for 3 yr at 35?70-km resolution. The emphasis is on estimating local time- and space scales ...