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RISUtilizing Probabilistic Downscaling Methods to Develop Streamflow Forecasts from Climate Forecasts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractStatistical information from ensembles of climate forecasts can be utilized in improving the streamflow predictions by using different downscaling methods. This study investigates the use of multinomial logistic ...
Improving the Prediction of Winter Precipitation and Temperature over the Continental United States: Role of the ENSO State in Developing Multimodel Combinations
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Recent research into seasonal climate prediction has focused on combining multiple atmospheric general circulation models (GCMs) to develop multimodel ensembles. A new approach to combining multiple GCMs is proposed by ...
Reducing Model Structural Uncertainty in Climate Model Projections—A Rank-Based Model Combination Approach
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractFuture changes in monthly precipitation are typically evaluated by estimating the shift in the long-term mean/variability or based on the change in the marginal distribution. General circulation model (GCM) ...
Role of Retrospective Forecasts of GCMs Forced with Persisted SST Anomalies in Operational Streamflow Forecasts Development
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Seasonal streamflow forecasts contingent on climate information are essential for water resources planning and management as well as for setting up contingency measures during extreme years. In this study, operational ...
Decomposition of Sources of Errors in Monthly to Seasonal Streamflow Forecasts in a Rainfall–Runoff Regime
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: espite considerable progress in developing real-time climate forecasts, most studies have evaluated the potential in seasonal streamflow forecasting based on ensemble streamflow prediction (ESP) methods, utilizing only ...
Integration of Climate and Weather Information for Improving 15-Day-Ahead Accumulated Precipitation Forecasts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: killful medium-range weather forecasts are critical for water resources planning and management. This study aims to improve 15-day-ahead accumulated precipitation forecasts by combining biweekly weather and disaggregated ...
The Role of Multimodel Climate Forecasts in Improving Water and Energy Management over the Tana River Basin, Kenya
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he Masinga Reservoir located in the upper Tana River basin, Kenya, is extremely important in supplying the country's hydropower and protecting downstream ecology. The dam serves as the primary storage reservoir, controlling ...
The Role of Monthly Updated Climate Forecasts in Improving Intraseasonal Water Allocation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Seasonal streamflow forecasts contingent on climate information are essential for short-term planning (e.g., water allocation) and for setting up contingency measures during extreme years. However, the water allocated based ...
Global Sea Surface Temperature Forecasts Using an Improved Multimodel Approach
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: ith the availability of hindcasts or real-time forecasts from a number of coupled climate models, multimodel ensemble forecasting systems have gained popularity in recent years. However, many models share similar physics ...
Conjunctive Management of Surface Water and Groundwater Resources under Drought Conditions Using a Fully Coupled Hydrological Model
Publisher: American Society of Civil Engineers
Abstract: A conjunctive management model has been developed to obtain optimal allocation of surface water and groundwater under different constraints during a drought. Two simulation models—a fully distributed hydrologic model and ...