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Projected Midlatitude Continental Summer Drying: North America versus Europe
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A common signal in climate model projections is a decline in average summer rainfall over midlatitude continents due to anthropogenic warming. Most models suggest this rainfall decline will be less severe over North America ...
Simulating SST Teleconnections to Africa: What is the State of the Art?
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his study provides an overview of the state of the art of modeling SST teleconnections to Africa and begins to investigate the sources of error. Data are obtained from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) ...
The Impact of Mediterranean SSTs on the Sahelian Rainfall Season
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A variety of regional and global sea surface temperature (SST) patterns are known to affect interannual to decadal variations of summer rainfall over the Sahel, and for most of these patterns considerable progress has been ...
Assessing Potential Seasonal Predictability with an Ensemble of Multidecadal GCM Simulations
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A global search for areas where seasonal prediction may be feasible has attracted scientific interest for many years. This contribution is based primarily on data from a six-member ensemble of 45-yr climate runs, each of ...
Fine-Scale Climate Projections: What Additional Fixed Spatial Detail Is Provided by a Convection-Permitting Model?
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Fine-Scale Climate Projections: What Additional Fixed Spatial Detail Is Provided by a Convection-Permitting Model?
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Causes of the Uncertainty in Projections of Tropical Terrestrial Rainfall Change: East Africa
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractUnderstanding the causes of regional climate projection uncertainty is a critical component toward establishing reliability of these projections. Here, four complementary experimental and decomposition techniques ...
On the Generation of African Squall Lines
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Squall lines (SLs) form an important component of the meteorology of northern Africa, and in particular, contribute substantially to rainfall totals. Their generation requires the existence of a potentially unstable low-level ...
African Climate Change Uncertainty in Perturbed Physics Ensembles: Implications of Global Warming to 4°C and Beyond
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he importance of investigating regional climate changes associated with degrees of global warming is increasingly being recognized, but the majority of relevant research has been based on multimodel ensembles (MMEs) from ...
Understanding Uncertainties in Future Projections of Seasonal Tropical Precipitation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: rojected changes in regional seasonal precipitation due to climate change are highly uncertain, with model disagreement on even the sign of change in many regions. Using a 20-member CMIP5 ensemble under the RCP8.5 scenario, ...