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Subtropical Anticyclones and Summer Monsoons
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The summer subtropical circulation in the lower troposphere is characterized by continental monsoon rains and anticyclones over the oceans. In winter, the subtropical circulation is more strongly dominated by the zonally ...
Understanding the Anomalously Cold European Winter of 2005/06 Using Relaxation Experiments
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Experiments with the atmospheric component of the ECMWF Integrated Forecasting System (IFS) have been carried out to study the origin of the atmospheric circulation anomalies that led to the unusually cold European winter ...
Toward Seamless Prediction: Calibration of Climate Change Projections Using Seasonal Forecasts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Trustworthy probabilistic projections of regional climate are essential for society to plan for future climate change, and yet, by the nonlinear nature of climate, finite computational models of climate are inherently ...
Flow-Dependent Reliability: A Path to More Skillful Ensemble Forecasts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractWhile chaos ensures that probabilistic weather forecasts cannot always be ?sharp,? it is important for users and developers that they are reliable. For example, they should not be overconfident or underconfident. ...
Daily Mean Sea Level Pressure Reconstructions for the European–North Atlantic Region for the Period 1850–2003
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The development of a daily historical European?North Atlantic mean sea level pressure dataset (EMSLP) for 1850?2003 on a 5° latitude by longitude grid is described. This product was produced using 86 continental and island ...
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