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Remarks on Northern Hemisphere Forecast Error Sensitivity from 1996 to 2000
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The sensitivity of 2-day Northern Hemisphere extratropical forecast errors to changes in initial conditions, computed daily over a 4-yr period, is documented. The sensitivity is computed using the (dry) adjoint of the Navy ...
Decaying Singular Vectors and Their Impact on Analysis and Forecast Correction
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The full set of kinetic energy singular values and singular vectors for the forward tangent propagator of a quasigeostrophic potential vorticity model is examined. In contrast to the fastest growing singular vectors, the ...
A Predictability Study Using Geostationary Satellite Wind Observations during NORPEX
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: High-density geostationary satellite wind observations have become an important new contributor to the observing network over oceanic regions. During the 1998 North Pacific Experiment (NORPEX), assimilation of these data ...
A Comparison of Adaptive Observing Guidance for Atlantic Tropical Cyclones
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Airborne adaptive observations have been collected for more than two decades in the neighborhood of tropical cyclones, to attempt to improve short-range forecasts of cyclone track. However, only simple subjective strategies ...
Interpretation of Adaptive Observing Guidance for Atlantic Tropical Cyclones
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Adaptive observing guidance products for Atlantic tropical cyclones are compared using composite techniques that allow one to quantitatively examine differences in the spatial structures of the guidance maps and relate ...