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RISDetection of Severe Weather Events in a High-Resolution Ensemble Prediction System Using the Extreme Forecast Index (EFI) and Shift of Tails (SOT)
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThe extreme forecast index (EFI) and shift of tails (SOT) are commonly used to compare an ensemble forecast to a reference model climatology, in order to measure the severity of the current weather forecast. In ...
Impact of Stochastic Physics in a Convection-Permitting Ensemble
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: stochastic physics scheme is tested in the Application of Research to Operations at Mesoscale (AROME) short-range convection-permitting ensemble prediction system. It is an adaptation of ECMWF?s stochastic perturbation of ...
Design and Evaluation of Calibrated and Seamless Ensemble Weather Forecasts for Crop Protection Applications
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Multivariate Emulation of Kilometer-Scale Numerical Weather Predictions with Generative Adversarial Networks: A Proof of Concept
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Machine Learning for Earth System Observation and Prediction
Publisher: American Meteorological Society