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The US National Blend of Models Statistical Post-Processing of Probability of Precipitation and Deterministic Precipitation Amount
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he US National Blend of Models provides statistically post-processed, high-resolution multi-model ensemble guidance, providing National Weather Service forecasters with a calibrated, downscaled starting point for producing ...
MOS Uncertainty Estimates in an Ensemble Framework
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: It is being increasingly recognized that the uncertainty in weather forecasts should be quantified and furnished to users along with the single-value forecasts usually provided. Probabilistic forecasts of ?events? have ...