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Empirical Bayes Approach for Developing Hierarchical Probabilistic Predictive Models and Its Application to the Seismic Reliability Analysis of FRP-Retrofitted RC Bridges
Publisher: American Society of Civil Engineers
Abstract: This paper proposes a general formulation to develop hierarchical probabilistic predictive models for clustered data. The common clustering factor, shared among the data within a group, causes statistical dependence that ...
Reliability Estimation for Networks of Reinforced Concrete Bridges
Publisher: American Society of Civil Engineers
Abstract: Transportation networks are critical lifelines and their functionality after an earthquake is of primary importance for life safety and economic recovery of a community, yet they can be severely damaged during earthquakes. ...
Modeling Structural Degradation of RC Bridge Columns Subjected to Earthquakes and Their Fragility Estimates
Publisher: American Society of Civil Engineers
Abstract: Current seismic design of bridges is based on “one-time” performance of the bridges during the design seismic event. However, there might be a considerable probability of observing more than one damaging earthquakes in a ...
Probabilistic Models and Fragility Estimates for Unreinforced Masonry Walls Subject to In-Plane Horizontal Forces
Publisher: ASCE
Abstract: Unreinforced masonry (URM) buildings make up a significant portion of the built environment, with hollow clay being the predominant choice for the units. The capacity of URM buildings is a function of the capacity of its ...
Protocol for the Validation of Models for Regional Risk Analysis
Publisher: American Society of Civil Engineers
Abstract: Regional risk analysis provides information for decisions made by communities, state and federal agencies, and the insurance industry. The analyses involve comprehensive prediction models, including nested models in complex ...
Seismic Reliability Analysis of Deteriorating Representative U.S. West Coast Bridge Transportation Networks
Publisher: American Society of Civil Engineers
Probabilistic Fire Analysis: Material Models and Evaluation of Steel Structural Members
Publisher: American Society of Civil Engineers
Bayesian Statistical Framework to Construct Probabilistic Models for the Elastic Modulus of Concrete
Publisher: American Society of Civil Engineers
Abstract: The commonly used Pauw’s formula to predict elastic modulus of concrete is very general and does not address the complexity of modern concretes, such as high-strength concrete, use of different types of aggregates and ...
Adaptive Reliability Analysis of Reinforced Concrete Bridges Subject to Seismic Loading Using Nondestructive Testing
Publisher: American Society of Civil Engineers
Abstract: Seismic fragility reflects the reliability of a structure to withstand future seismic demands. It is defined as the conditional probability that a structural demand attains or exceeds a specified capacity level for given ...