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Communication of Uncertainty in Temperature Forecasts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: xperimental economics is used to test whether undergraduate students presented with a temperature forecast with uncertainty information in a table and bar graph format were able to use the extra information to interpret a ...
MOGREPS-UK Convection-Permitting Ensemble Products for Surface Water Flood Forecasting: Rationale and First Results
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: looding is one of the costliest hazards in the United Kingdom. A large part of the annual flood damage is caused by surface water flooding that is a direct result of intense rainfall. Traditional catchment-based approaches ...
The THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Ensemble forecasting is increasingly accepted as a powerful tool to improve early warnings for high-impact weather. Recently, ensembles combining forecasts from different systems have attracted a considerable level of ...
MAP D-PHASE: Real-Time Demonstration of Weather Forecast Quality in the Alpine Region
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Demonstration of probabilistic hydrological and atmospheric simulation of flood events in the Alpine region (D-PHASE) is made by the Forecast Demonstration Project in connection with the Mesoscale Alpine Programme (MAP). ...