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Quantification and Exploration of Diurnal Oscillations in Tropical Cyclones
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractDiurnal oscillations of infrared cloud-top brightness temperatures (Tbs) in tropical cyclones (TCs) as inferred from storm-centered, direction-relative longwave infrared (~11 ?m) imagery are quantified for Northern ...
An Operational Rapid Intensification Prediction Aid for the Western North Pacific
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThis work describes tropical cyclone rapid intensification forecast aids designed for the western North Pacific tropical cyclone basin and for use at the Joint Typhoon Warning Center. Two statistical methods, linear ...
Statistical Tropical Cyclone Wind Radii Prediction Using Climatology and Persistence: Updates for the Western North Pacific
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThis note describes an updated tropical cyclone vortex climatology for the western North Pacific version of the operational wind radii climatology and persistence (i.e., CLIPER) model. The update addresses known ...
Is Tropical Cyclone Intensity Guidance Improving?
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: absolute error of the official tropical cyclone (TC) intensity forecasts from the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) shows limited evidence of improvement over the past two decades. ...
Using Routinely Available Information to Estimate Tropical Cyclone Wind Structure
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: relatively simple method to estimate tropical cyclone (TC) wind radii from routinely available information including storm data (location, motion, and intensity) and TC size is introduced. The method is based on a combination ...
Identifying and Categorizing Bias in AI/ML for Earth Sciences
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Further Improvements to the Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme Using Tropical Cyclone Rainfall and Structural Features
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThe Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme (SHIPS) is a multiple regression model for forecasting tropical cyclone (TC) intensity [both central pressure (Pmin) and maximum wind speed (Vmax)]. To further ...
The Development and Evaluation of a Tropical Cyclone Probabilistic Landfall Forecast Product
Publisher: American Meteorological Society