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RISFuture Change of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Tracks: Projection by a 20-km-Mesh Global Atmospheric Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Possible future change in tropical cyclone (TC) activity over the North Atlantic (NA) was investigated by comparison of 25-yr simulations of the present-day climate and future change under the A1B emission scenario using ...
Moisture Asymmetry and MJO Eastward Propagation in an Aquaplanet General Circulation Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he role of zonal moisture asymmetry in the eastward propagation of the Madden?Julian oscillation (MJO) is investigated through a set of aquaplanet atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM) experiments with a zonally ...
Contributing Factors to the Recent High Level of Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) and Power Dissipation Index (PDI) in the North Atlantic
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: n recent decades, tropical cyclone (TC) activity in the North Atlantic has shown a marked positive anomaly in genesis number, mean lifespan, number of intense hurricanes, and mean maximum intensity. The accumulated cyclone ...
Attribution of Projected Future Changes in Tropical Cyclone Passage Frequency over the Western North Pacific
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his paper performs an attribution analysis of future changes in the frequency of tropical cyclone (TC) passages over the western North Pacific basin projected by seven general circulation models. The models project increases ...
A Spectral Cumulus Parameterization Scheme Interpolating between Two Convective Updrafts with Semi-Lagrangian Calculation of Transport by Compensatory Subsidence
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he authors have developed a new spectral cumulus parameterization scheme that explicitly considers an ensemble of multiple convective updrafts by interpolating in-cloud variables between two convective updrafts with large ...
Future Change of Western North Pacific Typhoons: Projections by a 20-km-Mesh Global Atmospheric Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Projected future changes in tropical cyclone (TC) activity over the western North Pacific (WNP) under the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) A1B emission scenario were investigated using a 20-km-mesh, ...
The Present-Day Simulation and Twenty-First-Century Projection of the Climatology of Extratropical Transition in the North Atlantic
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThis study explores the simulations and twenty-first-century projections of extratropical transition (ET) of tropical cyclones (TCs) in the North Atlantic, with a newly developed global climate model: the ...
Influence of Model Biases on Projected Future Changes in Tropical Cyclone Frequency of Occurrence
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he influence of model biases on projected future changes in the frequency of occurrence of tropical cyclones (FOCs) was investigated using a new empirical statistical method. Assessments were made of present-day (1979?2003) ...
An Abrupt Decrease in the Late-Season Typhoon Activity over the Western North Pacific
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: n 1995 an abrupt shift in the late-season (October?December) typhoon activity over the western North Pacific (WNP) is detected by a Bayesian changepoint analysis. Interestingly, a similar change also occurs in the late-season ...
Projection of Landfalling–Tropical Cyclone Rainfall in the Eastern United States under Anthropogenic Warming
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractLandfalling?tropical cyclone (TC) rainfall is an important element of inland flood hazards in the eastern United States. The projection of landfalling-TC rainfall under anthropogenic warming provides insight into ...