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Predictability and Dynamics of a Nonintensifying Tropical Storm: Erika (2009)
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: n this study, the predictability of Tropical Storm Erika (2009) is evaluated by analyzing a 60-member convection-permitting ensemble initialized with perturbations from a real-time ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) system. ...
GOES-16 Observations of Rapidly Intensifying Tropical Cyclones: Hurricanes Harvey (2017), Maria (2017), and Michael (2018)
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Dynamics and Predictability of the Intensification of Hurricane Edouard (2014)
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he dynamics and predictability of the intensification of Hurricane Edouard (2014) are explored through a 60-member convection-permitting ensemble initialized with an ensemble Kalman filter that assimilates dropsondes ...
Dynamics and Predictability of Hurricane Nadine (2012) Evaluated through Convection-Permitting Ensemble Analysis and Forecasts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he governing dynamics and uncertainties of an ensemble simulation of Hurricane Nadine (2012) are assessed through the use of a regional-scale convection-permitting analysis and forecast system based on the Weather Research ...
Impact of the Diurnal Radiation Contrast on the Contraction of Radius of Maximum Wind during Intensification of Hurricane Edouard (2014)
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This work examines the impacts of the diurnal radiation contrast on the contraction rate of the radius of maximum wind (RMW) during intensification of Hurricane Edouard (2014) through convection-permitting simulations. ...
The Inner-Core Temperature Structure of Hurricane Edouard (2014): Observations and Ensemble Variability
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThe inner-core thermodynamic structure of Hurricane Edouard (2014) is explored, primarily through an examination of both high-altitude dropsondes deployed during NASA?s Hurricane and Severe Storm Sentinel (HS3) and ...
Predictability and Dynamics of Hurricane Joaquin (2015) Explored through Convection-Permitting Ensemble Sensitivity Experiments
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractReal-time ensemble forecasts from the Pennsylvania State University (PSU) WRF EnKF system (APSU) for Hurricane Joaquin (2015) are examined in this study. The ensemble forecasts, from early in Joaquin?s life cycle, ...