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A Multiscale Reexamination of the Pacific–South American Pattern
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he authors undertake a multiscale spectral reexamination of the variability of the Pacific?South American (PSA) pattern and the mechanisms by which this variability occurs. Time scales from synoptic to interannual are ...
Metastability of Northern Hemisphere Teleconnection Modes
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his study applies a finite-element, bounded-variation, vector autoregressive method to assess midtropospheric flow regimes characterized by regime switches between metastable states. The flow is assessed in reanalysis data ...
Changes in the Metastability of the Midlatitude Southern Hemisphere Circulation and the Utility of Nonstationary Cluster Analysis and Split-Flow Blocking Indices as Diagnostic Tools
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: hanges in the metastability of the Southern Hemisphere 500-hPa circulation are examined using both cluster analysis techniques and split-flow blocking indices. The cluster methodology is a purely data-driven approach for ...
Climate Drift in the CMIP5 Models
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: limate models often exhibit spurious long-term changes independent of either internal variability or changes to external forcing. Such changes, referred to as model ?drift,? may distort the estimate of forced change in ...
The Sea Level Response to External Forcings in Historical Simulations of CMIP5 Climate Models
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: hanges in Earth?s climate are influenced by internal climate variability and external forcings, such as changes in solar radiation, volcanic eruptions, anthropogenic greenhouse gases (GHG), and aerosols. Although the ...
A Tale of Two Novembers: Confounding Influences on La Niña’s Relationship with Rainfall in Australia
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Climate Drift in the CMIP3 Models
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: ven in the absence of external forcing, climate models often exhibit long-term trends that cannot be attributed to natural variability. This so-called climate drift arises for various reasons including the following: ...
Synoptic and Large-Scale Determinants of Extreme Austral Frost Events
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractWe define and examine extreme frost events at three station locations across southern Australia. A synoptic assessment of the events shows that they are generally characterized by passage of a front or trough ...
The Identification of Long-Lived Southern Hemisphere Flow Events Using Archetypes and Principal Components
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Identifying Periods of Forecast Model Confidence for Improved Subseasonal Prediction of Precipitation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society