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Greenhouse Warming: Is the Mid-Holocene a Good Analogue?
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The mid-Holocene period (from approximately 9000 to 6000 years before present) is often suggested as an analogue for enhanced greenhouse warming. The changes in net radiative forcing at the top of the atmosphere are very ...
Do Models Underestimate the Solar Contribution to Recent Climate Change?
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Current attribution analyses that seek to determine the relative contributions of different forcing agents to observed near-surface temperature changes underestimate the importance of weak signals, such as that due to ...
Unified Modeling and Prediction of Weather and Climate: A 25-Year Journey
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: years there has been a growing appreciation of the potential advantages of using a seamless approach to weather and climate prediction. However, what exactly should this mean in practice? To help address this question, we ...
Observational Constraints on Past Attributable Warming and Predictions of Future Global Warming
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This paper investigates the impact of aerosol forcing uncertainty on the robustness of estimates of the twentieth-century warming attributable to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions. Attribution analyses on three coupled ...
THE WCRP CMIP3 Multimodel Dataset: A New Era in Climate Change Research
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A coordinated set of global coupled climate model [atmosphere?ocean general circulation model (AOGCM)] experiments for twentieth- and twenty-first-century climate, as well as several climate change commitment and other ...
An Earth-System Prediction Initiative for the Twenty-First Century
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: sity and benefits for establishing the international Earth-system Prediction Initiative (EPI) are discussed by scientists associated with the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) World Weather Research Programme (WWRP), ...