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RISA Bayesian Assessment of Climate Change Using Multimodel Ensembles. Part I: Global Mean Surface Temperature
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A Bayesian approach is applied to the observed global surface air temperature (SAT) changes using multimodel ensembles (MMEs) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) simulations ...
A Bayesian Assessment of Climate Change Using Multimodel Ensembles. Part II: Regional and Seasonal Mean Surface Temperatures
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A Bayesian approach is applied to the observed regional and seasonal surface air temperature (SAT) changes using single-model ensembles (SMEs) with the ECHO-G model and multimodel ensembles (MMEs) of the Intergovernmental ...
Quantifying the Anthropogenic Greenhouse Gas Contribution to the Observed Spring Snow-Cover Decline Using the CMIP6 Multimodel Ensemble
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This study conducts a detection and attribution analysis of the observed changes in boreal spring snow-cover extent (SCE) for an extended period of 1925–2019 for early spring (March and April) and 1970–2019 for late spring ...
Assessing the Impact of Volcanic Eruptions on Climate Extremes Using CMIP5 Models
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThis study analyzes extreme temperature and precipitation responses over the global land to five explosive tropical volcanic eruptions that occurred since the 1880s, using CMIP5 multimodel simulations. Changes in ...
Heat Stress Changes over East Asia under 1.5° and 2.0°C Global Warming Targets
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThis study provides a first quantification of possible benefits of global warming mitigation through heat stress reduction over East Asia by comparing projection results between low-emission and high-emission ...
Widening of the Hadley Cell from Last Glacial Maximum to Future Climate
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThe Hadley cell (HC) change from paleoclimate to future climate is examined by comparing coupled model simulations archived for the Paleoclimate Modeling Intercomparison Project phase 3 (PMIP3) and phase 5 of the ...
Autumn Precipitation Trends over Southern Hemisphere Midlatitudes as Simulated by CMIP5 Models
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: n recent decades, Southern Hemisphere midlatitude regions such as southern Africa, southeastern Australia, and southern Chile have experienced a reduction in austral autumn precipitation; the cause of which is poorly ...
Role of upwind precipitation in transboundary pollution and secondary aerosol formation: A case study during the KORUS-AQ field campaign
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Anthropogenic and natural contributions to the lengthening of the Southern Hemisphere summer season
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This study provides the first quantitative assessment of observed long-term changes in summer season timing and length in the Southern Hemisphere (SH) and its sub-regions over the past 60 years, enabling a global completeness ...
Widening of the Hadley Cell from Last Glacial Maximum to Future Climate
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThe Hadley cell (HC) change from paleoclimate to future climate is examined by comparing coupled model simulations archived for the Paleoclimate Modeling Intercomparison Project phase 3 (PMIP3) and phase 5 of the ...