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The Sensitivity of Simulated River Discharge to Land Surface Representation and Meteorological Forcings
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The discharge of freshwater into oceans represents a fundamental process in the global climate system, and this flux is taken into account in simulations with general circulation models (GCMs). Moreover, the availability ...
Prediction of Indian Summer Monsoon Onset Using Dynamical Subseasonal Forecasts: Effects of Realistic Initialization of the Atmosphere
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: nsembles of retrospective 2-month dynamical forecasts initiated on 1 May are used to predict the onset of the Indian summer monsoon (ISM) for the period 1989?2005. The subseasonal predictions (SSPs) are based on a coupled ...
Impact of Atmosphere and Land Surface Initial Conditions on Seasonal Forecasts of Global Surface Temperature
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he impact of land surface and atmosphere initialization on the forecast skill of a seasonal prediction system is investigated, and an effort to disentangle the role played by the individual components to the global ...
A Multisystem View of Wintertime NAO Seasonal Predictions
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractSignificant predictive skill for the mean winter North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and Arctic Oscillation (AO) has been recently reported for a number of different seasonal forecasting systems. These findings are ...
The Representation of Atmospheric Blocking and the Associated Low-Frequency Variability in Two Seasonal Prediction Systems
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: rimarily as a response to boundary forcings, certain components of the atmospheric intraseasonal variability are potentially predictable. Particularly referring to the extratropics, the current generation of seasonal ...
Interdisciplinary Regional Collaboration for Public Health Adaptation to Climate Change in the Eastern Mediterranean
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The World Health Organization has estimated that in 2012 approximately 23% of all deaths worldwide were attributed to changeable environmental factors, which may be potentially influenced by climate change (WHO 2016). In ...
A Framework for Joint Verification and Evaluation of Seasonal Climate Services across Socioeconomic Sectors
Publisher: American Meteorological Society