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Interpreting Century-Scale Changes in Southern North Sea Storm Surge Climate Derived from Coupled Model Simulations
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This paper describes numerical experiments using a climate?storm surge simulation system for the coast of the United Kingdom, with a particular focus on the southern North Sea and the Thames estuary in southeastern England. ...
Toward a European Climate Prediction System
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Comparing Tropical Forest Projections from Two Generations of Hadley Centre Earth System Models, HadGEM2-ES and HadCM3LC
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: uture changes in atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations and associated influences on climate could affect the future sustainability of tropical forests. The authors report on tropical forest projections from the new ...
Response of the HadGEM2 Earth System Model to Future Greenhouse Gas Emissions Pathways to the Year 2300
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: new ensemble of simulations from the Earth System configuration of the Hadley Centre Global Environmental Model, version 2 (HadGEM2-ES), is used to evaluate the response to historical and projected future greenhouse gas ...
Quantifying Environmental Drivers of Future Tropical Forest Extent
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Future changes in atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations, and their associated influences on climate, will affect the future sustainability of tropical forests. While dynamic global vegetation models (DGVMs) represent ...
Performance of Pattern-Scaled Climate Projections under High-End Warming. Part I: Surface Air Temperature over Land
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractPattern scaling is widely used to create climate change projections to investigate future impacts. We consider the performance of pattern scaling for emulating the HadGEM2-ES general circulation model (GCM) paying ...
Environment-Aware Digital Twins: Incorporating Weather and Climate Information to Support Risk-Based Decision-Making
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Transient Climate Simulations with the HadGEM1 Climate Model: Causes of Past Warming and Future Climate Change
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The ability of climate models to simulate large-scale temperature changes during the twentieth century when they include both anthropogenic and natural forcings and their inability to account for warming over the last 50 ...
Comparing Methods to Constrain Future European Climate Projections Using a Consistent Framework
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Political decisions, adaptation planning, and impact assessments need reliable estimates of future climate change and related uncertainties. To provide these estimates, different approaches to constrain, filter, or weight ...