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Impacts of the Aerosol Representation in WRF-Solar Clear-Sky Irradiance Forecasts over CONUS
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
An Objective Methodology for Configuring and Down-Selecting an NWP Ensemble for Low-Level Wind Prediction
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: nsembles of numerical weather prediction (NWP) model predictions are used for a variety of forecasting applications. Such ensembles quantify the uncertainty of the prediction because the spread in the ensemble predictions ...
Improving SCIPUFF Dispersion Forecasts with NWP Ensembles
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The relationships between atmospheric transport and dispersion (AT&D) plume uncertainty and uncertainties in the transporting wind fields are investigated using the Second-Order Closure, Integrated Puff (SCIPUFF) AT&D model ...
Uncertainty in Contaminant Concentration Fields Resulting from Atmospheric Boundary Layer Depth Uncertainty
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he relationship between atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) depth uncertainty and uncertainty in atmospheric transport and dispersion (ATD) simulations is investigated by examining profiles of predicted concentrations of a ...
Solar Irradiance Nowcasting Case Studies near Sacramento
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he Sun4Cast solar power forecasting system, designed to predict solar irradiance and power generation at solar farms, is composed of several component models operating on both the nowcasting (0?6 h) and day-ahead forecast ...
Improving Wind Predictions in the Marine Atmospheric Boundary Layer through Parameter Estimation in a Single-Column Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: current barrier to greater deployment of offshore wind turbines is the poor quality of numerical weather prediction model wind and turbulence forecasts over open ocean. The bulk of development for atmospheric boundary layer ...
The Role of Unresolved Clouds on Short-Range Global Horizontal Irradiance Predictability
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he shortwave radiative impacts of unresolved cumulus clouds are investigated using 6-h ensemble simulations performed with the WRF-Solar Model and high-quality observations over the contiguous United States for a 1-yr ...
Impacts of the Aerosol Representation in WRF-Solar Clear-Sky Irradiance Forecasts over CONUS
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Parameterizing Mesoscale Wind Uncertainty for Dispersion Modeling
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A parameterization of numerical weather prediction uncertainty is presented for use by atmospheric transport and dispersion models. The theoretical development applies Taylor dispersion concepts to diagnose dispersion ...
Anatomy of a Summertime Convective Event over the Arabian Region
Publisher: American Meteorological Society