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Sensitivity, Structure, and Dynamics of Singular Vectors Associated with Hurricane Helene (2006)
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he sensitivity of singular vectors (SVs) associated with Hurricane Helene (2006) to resolution and diabatic processes is investigated. Furthermore, the dynamics of their growth are analyzed. The SVs are calculated using ...
Evaluation of Medium-Range Forecasts for Hurricane Sandy
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: n 30 October 2012 Hurricane Sandy made landfall on the U.S. East Coast with a devastating impact. Here the performance of the ECMWF forecasts (both high resolution and ensemble) are evaluated together with ensemble forecasts ...
Potential Vorticity Dynamics of Forecast Errors: A Quantitative Case Study
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractSynoptic-scale error growth near the tropopause is investigated from a process-based perspective. Following previous work, a potential vorticity (PV) error tendency equation is derived and partitioned into individual ...
Global Distribution of the Skill of Tropical Cyclone Activity Forecasts on Short- to Medium-Range Time Scales
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: perational global medium-range ensemble forecasts of tropical cyclone (TC) activity (genesis plus the subsequent track) are systematically evaluated to understand the skill of the state-of-the-art ensembles in forecasting ...
The Rise of Data-Driven Weather Forecasting: A First Statistical Assessment of Machine Learning–Based Weather Forecasts in an Operational-Like Context
Publisher: American Meteorological Society