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RISA Climatology of Intense (or Major) Atlantic Hurricanes
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The variability of intense (or major) hurricanes in the Atlantic basin is investigated on both intraseasonal and interannual time scales. Differences are highlighted in characteristics between intense hurricanes and the ...
African Rainfall as a Precursor of Hurricane-Related Destruction on the U.S. East Coast
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This paper describes a predictive relationship between West African rainfall and U.S. hurricane-spawned destruction, which is based on information for the 42-yr period 1949?90. It is shown that above-average rainfall during ...
Reanalysis of the 1954-1963 Atlantic Hurricane Seasons
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he Hurricane Database, HURDAT2, is the main historical archive of all tropical storms, subtropical storms, and hurricanes from 1851 to the present in the North Atlantic Basin, which includes the Caribbean Sea and Gulf of ...
On the Classification of Extreme Atlantic Hurricanes Utilizing Mid-Twentieth-Century Monitoring Capabilities
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: n investigation is conducted to determine how improvements in observing capabilities and technology may have affected scientists? ability to detect and monitor Saffir?Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale Category 5 hurricanes in ...
An El Niño–Southern Oscillation Climatology and Persistence (CLIPER) Forecasting Scheme
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A statistical prediction method, which is based entirely on the optimal combination of persistence, month-to-month trend of initial conditions, and climatology, is developed for the El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO) ...
Normalized Hurricane Damages in the United States: 1925–95
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Hurricanes are the costliest natural disasters in the United States. Understanding how both hurricane frequencies and intensities vary from year to year as well as how this is manifested in changes in damages that occur ...
Atlantic Hurricane Database Uncertainty and Presentation of a New Database Format
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Best tracks? are National Hurricane Center (NHC) poststorm analyses of the intensity, central pressure, position, and size of Atlantic and eastern North Pacific basin tropical and subtropical cyclones. This paper estimates ...
Assessing the Skill of Operational Atlantic Seasonal Tropical Cyclone Forecasts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Since 1984, W. Gray of Colorado State University and a team of researchers have been issuing seasonal tropical cyclone forecasts for the North Atlantic Ocean. Prior to this, little work had been done in the area of long-term ...
How Much Skill Was There in Forecasting the Very Strong 1997–98 El Niño?
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The very strong 1997?98 El Niño was the first major event in which numerous forecasting groups participated in its real?time prediction. A previously developed simple statistical tool?the El Niño?Southern Oscillation ...
The Strong Association between Western Sahelian Monsoon Rainfall and Intense Atlantic Hurricanes
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Seasonal variability of Atlantic basin tropical cyclones is examined with respect to the monsoon rainfall over West Africa. Variations of intense hurricanes are of the most interest, as they are responsible for over ...