Abstract: The aim of this work is the evaluation of some basic measures of skill of the Ensemble Prediction System used operationally at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. Probabilistic forecasts for the occurrence ...

Abstract: The demand for verification of forecasting systems to ascertain their strengths and weaknesses is increasing dramatically as models evolve more rapidly. Precipitation forecasts have always been of great interest to forecasters ...

Abstract: Both upper-air and surface frontogenesis have often been depicted as processes whose dynamics could he reduced to 2D balanced problems in which ?self-sharpening? configurations could be highlighted. This paper reports on ...

Abstract: A significant number of tropical cyclones move into the midlatitudes and transform into extratropical cyclones. This process is generally referred to as extratropical transition (ET). During ET a cyclone frequently produces ...

Abstract: The authors evaluate the performance of current regional models in an intercomparison project for a case of explosive secondary marine cyclogenesis occurring during the Canadian Atlantic Storms Project and the Genesis of ...