Search
Now showing items 1-10 of 21
Sea Surface Temperature and the Maximum Intensity of Atlantic Tropical Cyclones
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: An empirical relationship between climatological sea surface temperature (SST) and the maximum intensity of tropical cyclones in the North Atlantic basin is developed from a 31-year sample (1962?1992). This relationship ...
The Large-Scale Inflow-Layer Structure of Hurricane Frederic (1979)
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Aircraft, rawinsonde, satellite, ship, and buoy data collected over a 40-h period were composited to analyze the inflow-layer structure of Hurricane Frederic (1979) within a radius of 10° latitude of the storm center. To ...
On the Decay of Tropical Cyclone Winds after Landfall in the New England Area
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A version of the Kaplan and DeMaria empirical model for predicting the decay of tropical cyclone 1-min maximum sustained surface winds after landfall is developed for the New England region. The original model was developed ...
A Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme (SHIPS) for the Atlantic Basin
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A statistical model for predicting intensity changes of Atlantic tropical cyclones at 12, 24, 36, 48, and 72 h is described. The model was developed using a standard multiple regression technique with climatological, ...
An Updated Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme (SHIPS) for the Atlantic and Eastern North Pacific Basins
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Updates to the Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme (SHIPS) for the Atlantic basin are described. SHIPS combines climatological, persistence, and synoptic predictors to forecast intensity changes using a ...
A Simple Empirical Model for Predicting the Decay of Tropical Cyclone Winds after Landfall
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: An empirical model for predicting the maximum wind of landfalling tropical cyclones is developed. The model is based upon the observation that the wind speed decay rate after landfall is proportional to the wind speed. ...
Large-Scale Characteristics of Rapidly Intensifying Tropical Cyclones in the North Atlantic Basin
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The National Hurricane Center (NHC) and Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme (SHIPS) databases are employed to examine the large-scale characteristics of rapidly intensifying Atlantic basin tropical cyclones. ...
On the Decay of Tropical Cyclone Winds Crossing Narrow Landmasses
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A method is developed to adjust the Kaplan and DeMaria tropical cyclone inland wind decay model for storms that move over narrow landmasses. The basic assumption that the wind speed decay rate after landfall is proportional ...
Upper-Level Eddy Angular Momentum Fluxes and Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The eddy flux convergence of relative angular momentum (EFC) at 200 mb was calculated for the named tropical cyclones during the 1989?1991 Atlantic hurricane seasons (371 synoptic times). A period of enhanced EFC within ...
A Revised Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification Index for the Atlantic and Eastern North Pacific Basins
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A revised rapid intensity index (RII) is developed for the Atlantic and eastern North Pacific basins. The RII uses large-scale predictors from the Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme (SHIPS) to estimate the ...