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A Note on Orographically Induced Instabilities in Two-Layer Models
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: In a low-order, two-layer model with orographic and zonal thermal and momentum forcing, two different types of orographically induced instabilities exist. One is of a barotropic nature with a westerly flow in the bottom ...
The Response of the Southern Hemisphere Atmospheric Circulation to an Enhanced Greenhouse Gas Forcing
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The response of the atmospheric circulation to an enhanced radiative greenhouse gas forcing is investigated. It has been proposed that the response of the climate system to an enhanced forcing projects directly onto the ...
Factors Influencing Skill Improvements in the ECMWF Forecasting System
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: uring the past 30 years the skill in ECMWF numerical forecasts has steadily improved. There are three major contributing factors: 1) improvements in the forecast model, 2) improvements in the data assimilation, and 3) the ...
Multiple Weather Regimes and Baroclinically Forced Spherical Resonance
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Systematically recurrent, geographically fixed weather regimes forced by a single isolated mountain in a two-layer, high-resolution, quasigeostrophic model modified for the sphere are found to be robust phenomena. While ...
A Comparison between Digital Filtering Initialization and Nonlinear Normal-Mode Initialization in a Data Assimilation System
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The objective of this study is to examine the performance of the adiabatic digital filtering initialization scheme of Lynch and Huang, the diabatic digital filtering initialization scheme of Huang and Lynch, and the diabatic ...
Comparison between Singular Vectors and Breeding Vectors as Initial Perturbations for the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: In this paper a study aimed at comparing the perturbation methodologies based on the singular vector ensemble prediction system (SV-EPS) and the breeding vector ensemble prediction system (BV-EPS) in the same model environment ...
Independent Estimations of the Asymptotic Variability in an Ensemble Forecast System
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: One desirable property within an ensemble forecast system is to have a one-to-one ratio between the root-mean-square error (rmse) of the ensemble mean and the standard deviation of the ensemble (spread). The ensemble spread ...
Large-Scale Dynamical Response to Subgrid-Scale Organization Provided by Cellular Automata
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: ecause of the limited resolution of numerical weather prediction (NWP) models, subgrid-scale physical processes are parameterized and represented by gridbox means. However, some physical processes are better represented ...
Normal Modes of Atmospheric Variability in Observations, Numerical Weather Prediction, and Climate Models
Publisher: American Meteorological Society