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An Examination of Nested Grid Model Precipitation Forecasts in the Presence of Moderate-To-Strong Low-Level Southerly Inflow
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The performance of the nested grid model (NGM) in predicting heavy rain is assessed for those cases in the cool season when moderato-to-strong low-level southerly inflow from the Gulf of Mexico is present. This study ...
Evaluation of 33 Years of Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting at the NMC
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The National Meteorological Center (NMC) initiated Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts (QPF) and an intensive QPF verification program in 1960. These forecast products have evolved from a manual effort, relying on extensive ...
Performance of NMC's Regional Models
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This paper details the performance characteristics of the two regional dynamical models used at the National Meteorological Center to forecast for North America. Strengths and weaknesses of these models?the limited-area ...
A Study of Heavy Rainfall Events during the Great Midwest Flood of 1993
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A synoptic?dynamic climatology was constructed using all 24-h 2-in. (50.8 mm) or greater rainfall events in nine states affected by heavy rains and flooding from June through September 1993 using 6- or 12-h gridded analyses ...
Seasonal and Geographic Variations in Quantitative Precipitation Prediction by NMC's Nested-Grid Model and Medium-Range Forecast Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This paper assesses the performance of the National Meteorological Center (NMC) Nested-Grid Model (NGM) during a period from March 1988 through March 1990, and the NMC medium-range forecast model (MRF) in two 136-day tests, ...
Use of Normalized Anomaly Fields to Anticipate Extreme Rainfall in the Mountains of Northern California
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Extreme rainfall events contribute a large portion of wintertime precipitation to northern California. The motivations of this paper were to study the observed differences in the patterns between extreme and more commonly ...
Changes to the Operational “Early” Eta Analysis/Forecast System at the National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This note describes changes that have been made to the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) operational ?early? eta model. The changes are 1) an decrease in horizontal grid spacing from 80 to 48 km, 2) ...